Anyone reading this who happens to be in their 30s -- maybe even anyone writing this or whatever -- might find Rhodes easy to root for, is what I'm saying. An Alex Smith-led passing attack that targeted players short of the first-down marker a league-high 67% of the time in 2020 didn't strike fear in opposing defenses. Arizona Cardinals, 47% Rookie. Enter your email and we'll send you exclusive predictions and analysis. 18. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The free agency frenzy is a hectic period on the NFL calendar with a language all its own. Chicago Bears, 71% Alexander's impact is easier to see: He allowed just 51% of the passes into his coverage to be completed last season, and those receptions went for fewer than 10 yards on average. Biggest strength:Kyler Murrayhas given the Cardinals one of the most efficient rushing attacks in the NFL despite not possessing an elite offensive line or running back. 13. Indianapolis Colts, 33% Las Vegas Raiders, 67% Biggest strength:Over the past three seasons, Philadelphia's defense trails only the Steelers in team pressure rate (39.5%) despite ranking just 29th in blitz rate (20.2%). 16. It's difficult to find a true weakness on this roster, but the running back position is the closest thing to it in the starting lineup. Green Bay Packers, 30% Biggest weakness:Rock Ya-Sinhas struggled with up-and-down play to begin his NFL career, and last season, there were more downs than ups. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. X factor for 2021:The offseason losses ofSteven NelsonandMike Hiltonat cornerback place more pressure onCameron Suttonto be an integral part of this secondary this season. Its also an opportunity for other Lions defenders to step up. Gregory has played more than 300 snaps just once in his career due to a string of suspensions. Minnesota Vikings, 30% The Browns now have the personnel to do so with the additions to their secondary this offseason. Biggest weakness:The Dolphins will once again be heavily reliant on youth along the offensive line.Austin Jackson(37th-highest grade at left tackle),Solomon Kindley(38th at right guard) andRobert Hunt (20th at right tackle) all had shaky stretches as rookies last season. If healthy, Farley could be one of the steals of the first round. 28. X factor for 2021:The Jaguars gaveK'Lavon Chaissonthe opportunity to develop with meaningful snaps as a rookie last season, even though he was relatively raw coming out of LSU. Which NFL team had the best 2022 rookie class? However, Vance Joseph's man-heavy defense did Peterson's declining athleticism no favors. BrownandDerrick Henry. Carolina Panthers, 62% That won't be the case for, all earned receiving grades of at least 70.0 in 2020 and should only improve., . Since Kelce and Mahomes joined forces in 2018, only one other player in the league has logged more receiving yards than Kelce's 3,981 (DeAndre Hopkins, 4,144). On a defensive line that has several younger players looking for 2021 breakouts, Burns appears to be someone that the Panthers can rely on to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Generally, a rookie quarterback who was selected with the first overall pick isn't provided with much help offensively. Justin Rogers of the Detroit News. That isn't even remotely the case. Burns finished in the 92nd percentile among all edge defenders in pass-rushing grade last season. 19. With fellow 30 over 30 member J.J. Watt joining the Cardinals' defense this offseason, along with a conclave of veteran cornerbacks, Jones could get back to punishing QBs in no time assuming he stays put. Although he's no longer at the apex of his powers, the five-time All-Pro is still a plus player off the edge who commands constant attention. Atlanta struggled to generate a consistent pass rush without the aid of the blitz, and its young secondary was beaten with regularity in coverage. Buffalo will hope thatCody Fordreturning from injury (56.7 run-blocking grade last season) andStar Lotuleleireturning from opt-out (61.5 run-defense grade in 2019) can bolster their respective units. Los Angeles Chargers, 70% Philadelphia 76ers Premier League UFC. Although Williams hasn't played a full 16-game slate since he was 25 years old, he doesn't seem overly concerned about his durability, saying he believes he could play out the entirety of his new six-year contract and then some. Biggest weakness:The receiving depth behindMichael Thomaswill likely mean that he will see 2019 levels of target share. Chaisson recorded 19 of his 29 pressures on the season in Jacksonville's final five games. Indianapolis has PFF's second-ranked offensive line entering the 2021 season behind only the Browns. Former Houston Texans defensive end J.J. Watt still has something to give, even though he had 5.0 sacks and two forced fumbles through 16 starts last season. His pressure rate fell from 14.0% in 2019 to 7.8% in 2020 (seventh-lowest among edge defenders with at least 300 pass-rushing snaps). Biggest weakness:This secondary bled production to opposing passing offenses in 2020, and it didn't get noticeably better this offseason. Winston led all qualifying passers in average depth of target (10.8 yards downfield) in his five seasons with the Buccaneers. 4. Tennessee Titans, 38% Philadelphia Eagles, 75% X factor for 2021:This has to beAaron Rodgers, right? Expect plenty of heavy personnel groupings featuringJonnu SmithandHunter Henry at tight end. He ranks among the top 10 cornerbacks in the league in accepted penalties since 2019. New York Jets, 57% X factor for 2021:Dante Fowler Jr. came nowhere close to living up to the three-year, $45 million contract he signed with Atlanta prior to last season. 4. WebTeams with multiple rushers have the luxury of not facing a consistent double team somewhere. I'm not sure how time will ultimately judge Tannehill,but if there were a 30-and-over Hall of Fame, he'd be well, maybenot a first-ballot lock yet, but he'd be on track to get in, and that's something! With the NFL salary cap set at $224.8 million per team in 2023, Brady will count for $11 million, and about $24 million the following season. Who had the most wins as It's just hard to see that happening with Lock or Bridgewater at QB. Biggest strength:The physicality thatDerrick Henry,A.J. 12. One of Sirianni's main tasks is to decide if Jalen Hurts is the quarterback he wants to roll with in the future, but that will only really be possible if Johnson, who was limited by injuries to seven games last season, can help recharge the offensive line and keep Hurts clean. He saw a much more even split between pass-rushing and coverage snaps last season in Miami, and the result was a 61.9 overall grade and surprise cut this offseason. 25. New York Jets, 33% Chicago Bears, 37% Hes our starter. Ifeadi Odenigbo was one of the most double teamed players in the league last year Reply Ballsohardstate Ravens Additional comment actions Didnt think about that good point. If nothing else, we honor his ability to be officially in his 30s and still inspiring headlines that include the words "shirtless photo" and "goes viral.". San Francisco 49ers, 59% His 20 combined pass breakups and interceptions last season weren't an aberration, either. Those totals rank second and fourth, respectively, among quarterback-receiver combinations over the past two years. He appeared in four games for Buffalo as a rookie in 2020, recording four pass breakups and an interception on fewer than 20 passes thrown into his coverage. Those are now Baltimore's two projected starters. 2 and No. Last season, the veteran was one of just two players (T.J. Watt) to have a stuff percentage over 4 percent and a disruption rate of at least 12 percent, per Next Gen Stats (min. Coming off an injury-marred 2019 campaign, No. 60 targets, per NGS). So it will be interesting to see if the Lions pass rush rates increase as the season goes on and if opponents change up their strategy when it comes to Hutchinson and Harris. Thats right, four of Bosas sacks has come against dual-threat QBs. 6. WebOpponent Passing Touchdowns per Game. Jump to: 8. The 31-year-old's superb 2020 campaign again ended without first-team All-Pro or Pro Bowl honors, but I suspect some new jewelry and stacks on stacks will remedy any hurt feelings. Entering his age-44 season, it's hard to believe I have more questions about his decision-making than his durability. Suddenly, he's the No. 29. Opponent Passing First Down Percentage. But he can still provide some disruption as a pass-rusher if he can get back healthy and onto the field. Philadelphia will also be relying on starter contributions from either fourth-round rookieZech McPhearsonor an unproven player such asCraig JamesorMichael Jacquet. ESPN Analytics created revolutionary new metrics to measure performance in the trenches -- in both the run and pass game -- using player tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats. TB: It feels like Wilson is accumulating baggage, between the shaky close to the Year of Letting Russ Cook and the offseason drama that sprang up around his frustration with the Seahawks. Biggest strength:New York has quietly put together a top-10 defensive line entering the 2021 season.Carl LawsonandQuinnen Williamsproject to be the stars of the unit, but the Jets have several impressive complementary pieces up front, as well.Folorunso Fatukasiis the NFL's third-highest-graded interior defender against the run over the last two seasons, andJohn Franklin-Myers, who could be transitioning to more of an edge role this season, ranked fourth among all interior defenders in pass-rush win rate during the 2020 season. 26. Gregg Rosenthal dives deep into the upcoming market to rank NFL.com's Top 101 Free Agents of 2023. Who are the best players available in this year's class? Ojulari will look to change that. Biggest weakness:The Bengals' offensive line should be better in 2021 than it was last season. 17. New England Patriots, 31% Absolute beast. 22. Since the start of the 2019 season, Wilson has connected with Metcalf on 22 passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield. Biggest weakness: For as good as the high-end talent is on this defense, Los Angeles does have some question marks behind the likes of Bosa and James on the depth chart. Every year is crucial when you're talking about quarterbacking into your fifth decade on Earth, but the next few could be absolutely pivotal for Rodgers, even setting aside the question of where he'll be playing. San Francisco 49ers, 32% Four new players make his list, including Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker. San Francisco 49ers, 70% Instead, he was thoroughly outplayed byNick KwiatkoskiandNicholas Morrowin a disappointing 2020 debut with the team. Indianapolis Colts, 31% San Francisco 49ers, 61% Highest double team rate nfl 2021. Biggest strength:The Lions have made it clear that they plan to build through the trenches, and they're off to a good start along the offensive line.Frank Ragnowprojects as one of the best centers in the NFL this season, coming off a career-high 80.3 overall grade in 2020, but rookie right tacklePenei Sewellhas the potential to be the best offensive lineman in this starting five. Cincinnati will be hoping that an NFL reunion between Burrow and Chase will help solve some of those deep passing woes. When we last looked at the 30 best NFL players over 30, we settled on an order we felt pretty good about heading into the 2020 season. 1 to 32, providing accompanying grades and analysis. Has he lost the juice that fueled five straight double-digit sack seasons, including 19 in his 2019 All-Pro campaign? RBWR: Players | Team, 1. He earned a 73.7 coverage grade as a rookie in 2017 only to see that grade drop to 39.8 the following season. Abram was PFF's lowest-graded safety in 2020, and Arnette didn't fare much better at cornerback (sixth-lowest overall grade) in his rookie season. Since joining the Bears in 2018, Mack's 92.5 PFF grade ranks No. Los Angeles Rams, 68% According to PFF's wins above replacement metric, Mahomes has been the most valuable quarterback in the NFL over the past three seasons by more than a full win. I argued last August that the 43-year-old Brady, as strong-armed and surgical as ever, would prove he's still one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, and thus, deserved a higher ranking on our list. Given Seattle's cornerback depth, the decision to sign Witherspoon to a one-year deal in the hopes of a healthy and productive season seems like a worthwhile risk. Detroit Lions, 60% AB:Martin's streak of consecutive Pro Bowls to start his career ended at six in 2020, after a calf injury limited the Cowboys lineman to just 10 games. Lamb,Amari CooperandMichael Gallupare certainly in the conversation for best wide receiver trio in the NFL. Darnold has graded out as one of the league's worst quarterbacks in a Jets offense that did him no favors over the first three seasons of his career. 15. Miami Dolphins, 47%, 1. Brown and Ryan Tannehill in Tennessee, opposing defensive coordinators find themselves in the ultimate damned if you do, damned if you don't scenario. Kelce comfortably ranks first at the tight end position, and Hill comes in at fourth among wide receivers. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Carolina Panthers, 72% In run stop win rate, a defender can earn a win by doing any of the following: beating his blocker so he's in better position to stop the runner; disrupting the pocket or running lane by pushing his blocker backwards; containing the runner such that he must adjust his running lane; or recording a tackle within three yards of the line of scrimmage. AB:Fitting that one of the league's most overlooked players of the last decade now finds himself overshadowed by his own teammate. (Or, maybe, 2033?). form the league's top returning tackle duo. 25. Webhighest double team rate nfl 2021highest double team rate nfl 2021highest double team rate nfl 2021 AB: One of my greatest regrets from last year's exercise was not including Tucker. 6. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Kansas City Chiefs, 44% New York Giants, 71% Ford isn't going to turn back into the player who led all edge rushers in pressures in 2018 while with Kansas City. A return to his 2019 role and form would give a nice boost to this defense, which struggled last season. 7. Miami Dolphins, 71% 9. There's no guarantee that Dupree will offer more than a healthyJadeveon Clowneydid as a pass-rusher last season, either. Indianapolis has PFF's second-ranked offensive line entering the 2021 season behind only the Browns. 1 among all qualifying edge defenders. throws one of the prettiest deep balls in the NFL, and. Atlanta Falcons, 35% 24. 12. New York Jets, 68% AP Photo/Wade Payne. 7. He's certainly not the same game-wrecker that brought home three Defensive Player of the Year trophies in four years from 2012 to 2015, but Watt has still been one of the best defensive linemen in the NFL for Houston over the past three seasons. 4. Unlike the younger superstars, who still have too much of that messy, uncertain future stuff ahead of them, Rodgers has a decade-plus of elite production in the books and can see the big 4-0 on the horizon. Green Bay Packers, 72% However, the rest of the defensive line doesn't bring nearly as much juice.Frank Clarks pass-rushing grade is 20 points lower over the past two seasons in Kansas City than it was across his final two seasons in Seattle. 15. The odds are probably against him. 6. can comfortably count himself among that group. Jacksonville Jaguars, 70% Cincinnati Bengals, 37% Despite not capitalizing on all of his opportunities, Hutchinson has had a solid start to his NFL career. 32. That number jumps to 89.9 when targeting any other player since 2019. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. The Niners, though, have plugged him on three plays over the tackle, then 224 where hes outside shade of the tight end or tackle. 19. (Via @PFF_Neil) pic.twitter.com/bR5Ajcra5o, PFF SF 49ers (@PFF_49ers) January 3, 2020. Likewise, our pass block win rate metric conveys the rate linemen can sustain their blocks for 2.5 seconds or longer. Folks tried to write him off after his first few seasons, and look how that turned out. 4. ).Swift is the only #NFL player with two runs of 50+ yards in 2022. 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